FC Châtel-St-Denis vs Lancy FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
72.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
12º
13º
74
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Châtel-St-Denis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ECH
3 - 0
FCC
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 3
ROM
41%
22%
38%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 2
FCA
23%
21%
57%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCC
2 - 2
DAR
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
UGS
1 - 5
FCC
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 2
VEY
89%
8%
3%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
LAN
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 0
FAR
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
LAN
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 2
ODG
77%
14%
8%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |