FC Celano Marsica vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
60.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
FCC
72%
19%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 2
NEA
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 2
EBO
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRG
2 - 0
FCC
83%
13%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
MIL
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
ARZ
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 1
PAG
16%
26%
58%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAG
3 - 1
ASM
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAG
22%
28%
50%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
RAA
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |