FC Celano Marsica vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 2
CAM
26%
27%
47%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
3 - 2
FCC
82%
12%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 5
APR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 0
FCC
69%
20%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 0
PAG
26%
28%
46%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 2
LAQ
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 0
FON
68%
19%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 1
LAQ
54%
24%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 1
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |