FC Celano Marsica vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 3
FCC
59%
24%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 0
USP
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ACS
3 - 0
FCC
52%
26%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 1
FAN
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
FCC
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 0
GAV
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
USP
3 - 1
GAV
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
GAV
2 - 2
CHI
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ACG
2 - 1
GAV
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |