FC Celano Marsica vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USV
1 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
FAN
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 0
FCC
68%
20%
13%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
ARZ
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 3
FCC
18%
25%
57%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
FON
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
2 - 2
MIL
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 2
ASM
45%
26%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
2 - 1
CHI
30%
27%
44%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ACI
2 - 1
ASM
35%
27%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |