FC Celano Marsica vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BEN
5 - 0
FCC
54%
27%
19%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASA
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ASC
0 - 2
FCC
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FCC
0 - 0
VIG
41%
28%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ASM
0 - 1
GEL
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
REA
1 - 0
ASM
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 0
USV
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 1
FCI
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |