FC Celano Marsica vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
FCC
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 0
FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 3
JES
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 4
SAN
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AST
0 - 0
FCC
76%
16%
9%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ANC
0 - 3
VIS
84%
12%
5%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
JES
2 - 1
ANC
16%
24%
60%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ANC
4 - 1
MAC
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ANC
2 - 1
AST
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 2
ANC
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | -1 |