Catanzaro vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCC
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
RIE
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCC
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 1
SIC
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
FCC
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 2
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
FRA
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
BAR
23%
27%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
FRA
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
CAS
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |