Catanzaro vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FIA
2 - 1
FCC
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 2
TRA
11%
22%
68%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
FCC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCC
0 - 1
REN
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AKR
1 - 2
FCC
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
SIR
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SIC
2 - 2
FRA
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 1
CAS
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
REG
0 - 0
FRA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |