Lega Pro Relegation Playoffs Final
Global 4-3
Catanzaro vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
FON
2 - 1
FCC
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 0
CAS
28%
28%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
USV
2 - 1
FCC
29%
28%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 0
SIR
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
REG
1 - 0
FCC
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
USV
0 - 0
MES
34%
29%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 2
USV
41%
28%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
USV
2 - 1
FCC
29%
28%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
USV
66%
22%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
USV
1 - 1
CAT
18%
27%
55%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |