Catanzaro vs Avellino analysis

Catanzaro Avellino
70 ELO 56
10.6% Tilt -3.6%
249º General ELO ranking 1025º
27º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
72.9%
Catanzaro
17.8%
Draw
9.3%
Avellino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
Catanzaro
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.3%
Win probability
Avellino
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanzaro
+1%
+18%
Avellino

Points and table prediction

Catanzaro
Their league position
Avellino
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
97
44
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Catanzaro
97
97
100%
Crotone
78
78
100%
Pescara
63
63
100%
Picerno
60
60
0%
Audace Cerignola
60
60
0%
Calcio Foggia
59
59
100%
Monopoli
52
52
100%
Latina
47
47
100%
SSC Giugliano
47
47
100%
Virtus Francavilla
12º
46
46
10º
0%
Potenza Calcio
11º
46
46
11º
0%
Taranto
10º
46
46
12º
100%
Juve Stabia
13º
46
46
13º
0%
Avellino
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
17º
40
42
16º
100%
ACR Messina
16º
41
41
17º
100%
Gelbison
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Fidelis Andria
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Viterbese
20º
31
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Catanzaro
Avellino
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Catanzaro
Avellino
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
JUS
Juve Stabia
1 - 4
Catanzaro
FCC
15%
25%
60%
69 53 16 0
19 Feb. 2023
FCC
Catanzaro
6 - 0
Monopoli
MON
71%
19%
10%
69 56 13 0
12 Feb. 2023
VIT
Viterbese
1 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
10%
22%
68%
69 47 22 0
05 Feb. 2023
FCC
Catanzaro
4 - 0
Fidelis Andria
FIA
84%
13%
4%
69 44 25 0
01 Feb. 2023
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 0
Turris Neapolis
TUR
81%
14%
5%
69 47 22 0

Matches

Avellino
Avellino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
AVE
Avellino
0 - 1
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
53%
26%
21%
57 51 6 0
19 Feb. 2023
AVE
Avellino
0 - 2
Viterbese
VIT
59%
25%
16%
58 49 9 -1
12 Feb. 2023
AUD
Audace Cerignola
3 - 1
Avellino
AVE
39%
26%
35%
59 54 5 -1
06 Feb. 2023
AVE
Avellino
3 - 1
Crotone
CRO
17%
24%
59%
57 67 10 +2
01 Feb. 2023
RPO
Potenza Calcio
2 - 4
Avellino
AVE
34%
27%
38%
57 52 5 0