Catanzaro vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
PAG
0 - 2
FCC
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FCC
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
FCC
0 - 1
JUV
24%
29%
47%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
GEN
2 - 0
FCC
43%
29%
28%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
CES
4 - 1
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 1
USC
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
39%
30%
30%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
SSS
4 - 0
PES
65%
24%
10%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
BAR
0 - 0
SSS
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 1
LEC
52%
29%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |