Catanzaro vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
BOL
7 - 8
FCC
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 2
FCC
47%
25%
27%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
COS
0 - 0
FCC
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 1
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
SSS
0 - 0
BAR
41%
30%
30%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
LAZ
3 - 0
SSS
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 0
VER
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
COM
2 - 0
SSS
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |