Catanzaro vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RAA
0 - 1
FCC
32%
29%
39%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ACI
1 - 1
FCC
26%
29%
46%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASN
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
COS
0 - 0
FCC
49%
28%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
FCC
2 - 1
SSB
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SSM
1 - 1
ASA
49%
26%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SSM
1 - 0
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PES
0 - 0
SSM
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SSM
1 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
SSM
44%
26%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |