Catanzaro vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 2
FCC
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
FCC
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCS
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
USF
1 - 1
FCC
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 1
ISC
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 0
ASM
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SSB
2 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 1
SSB
47%
27%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 1
MAT
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
SSB
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |