Catanzaro vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
USV
0 - 1
FCC
20%
29%
52%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FCC
3 - 2
JUS
30%
28%
42%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FCC
2 - 1
VIC
40%
27%
34%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ASN
1 - 4
FCC
36%
28%
36%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCC
4 - 0
FCI
61%
24%
15%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SSB
2 - 0
ACI
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SSS
1 - 0
SSB
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SSB
1 - 1
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
RAA
1 - 1
SSB
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
JUS
4 - 1
SSB
68%
20%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -3 |