Catanzaro vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NUO
0 - 0
FCC
61%
23%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FCC
0 - 4
CAT
22%
28%
50%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
FCC
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 1
FRA
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FIA
2 - 1
FCC
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 1
SIR
66%
22%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 0
REG
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 2
SIR
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
SIR
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAS
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |