Catanzaro vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCC
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
FCC
2 - 0
USV
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
FCC
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 0
RPO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FCC
5 - 2
CAV
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
JUS
2 - 1
REN
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
CAT
22%
29%
49%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
FCC
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 4
REN
36%
27%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +2 |