Catanzaro vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 0
LCR
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
4 - 0
FCC
71%
20%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
FCC
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 1
BEN
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASM
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 2
PAG
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NUO
0 - 0
PAG
62%
24%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |