Catanzaro vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
50.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
GAV
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 0
FCC
31%
28%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 0
USV
69%
20%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 1
FCC
52%
25%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
RAA
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
PAG
20%
27%
53%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 2
CHI
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
EBO
0 - 0
PAG
37%
28%
36%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
NEA
69%
20%
12%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |