Catanzaro vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAL
30%
25%
46%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
FCC
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 2
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
LAT
0 - 2
FCC
18%
27%
55%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FCC
3 - 0
TAR
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
ACI
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MES
2 - 0
CAM
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
JUS
1 - 0
MES
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
USV
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RPO
2 - 3
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |