Catanzaro vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
SSB
1 - 1
FCC
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
LEC
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 2
SAL
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FCS
4 - 1
FCC
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FCC
3 - 0
USF
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
29%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 1
MES
50%
26%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
NUO
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
72%
19%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MES
1 - 2
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |