Catanzaro vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
FCC
0 - 0
PAD
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 0
FCC
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCC
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 1
MOD
41%
30%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
MES
4 - 0
LAZ
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
VIC
2 - 1
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
SAM
0 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
MES
0 - 3
FIO
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
MES
2 - 0
MAN
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |