Catanzaro vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BIS
0 - 2
FCC
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FCC
0 - 0
JUS
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
REG
2 - 1
FCC
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAS
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
REG
1 - 0
FCC
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 0
REN
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAT
3 - 0
LEC
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
TRA
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
LEC
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
POR
3 - 2
LEC
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |