Catanzaro vs FC Südtirol analysis

Catanzaro FC Südtirol
75 ELO 74
17.4% Tilt 1.9%
248º General ELO ranking 468º
27º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
57.4%
Catanzaro
23.6%
Draw
19%
FC Südtirol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
Catanzaro
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19%
Win probability
FC Südtirol
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanzaro
-2%
+8%
FC Südtirol

Points and table prediction

Catanzaro
Their league position
FC Südtirol
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
47
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Parma
76
76
100%
Como
73
73
100%
Venezia
70
70
100%
Cremonese
67
67
100%
Catanzaro
60
60
100%
Sampdoria
55
57
100%
Palermo FC
56
56
100%
Brescia
51
51
100%
Cosenza
47
47
100%
FC Südtirol
10º
47
47
10º
100%
Modena
11º
47
47
11º
100%
Reggiana
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Pisa SC
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Cittadella
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Spezia
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Ternana Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Ascoli
17º
41
41
17º
0%
SSC Bari
18º
41
41
18º
0%
Union Brescia
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Lecco
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Catanzaro
FC Südtirol
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Catanzaro
FC Südtirol
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
FCC
Catanzaro
3 - 2
Ascoli
ASC
55%
24%
22%
75 72 3 0
03 Feb. 2024
SPE
Spezia
1 - 1
Catanzaro
FCC
44%
26%
31%
75 75 0 0
26 Jan. 2024
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
44%
25%
32%
75 76 1 0
20 Jan. 2024
FER
Union Brescia
3 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
21%
26%
53%
76 63 13 -1
12 Jan. 2024
FCC
Catanzaro
5 - 3
Lecco
LEC
70%
19%
11%
75 64 11 +1

Matches

FC Südtirol
FC Südtirol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
FCS
FC Südtirol
0 - 3
Venezia
VNZ
32%
28%
39%
75 78 3 0
04 Feb. 2024
ASC
Ascoli
1 - 2
FC Südtirol
FCS
44%
28%
28%
74 73 1 +1
27 Jan. 2024
FCS
FC Südtirol
0 - 1
Cosenza
NUO
53%
27%
20%
75 69 6 -1
20 Jan. 2024
BRE
Brescia
1 - 1
FC Südtirol
FCS
49%
27%
24%
75 74 1 0
13 Jan. 2024
FCS
FC Südtirol
1 - 0
Union Brescia
FER
62%
24%
14%
75 63 12 0