Catanzaro vs Crotone analysis

Catanzaro Crotone
58 ELO 53
-11.3% Tilt -28.3%
253º General ELO ranking 1369º
27º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
50.2%
Catanzaro
26.8%
Draw
23.1%
Crotone

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
Catanzaro
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.1%
Win probability
Crotone
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanzaro
+4%
+16%
Crotone

ELO progression

Catanzaro
Crotone
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2003
PAT
Paternò
0 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
35%
29%
36%
57 44 13 0
05 Oct. 2003
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 0
Sora
SOR
62%
22%
16%
57 43 14 0
28 Sep. 2003
VIT
Viterbese
2 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
39%
31%
30%
58 50 8 -1
21 Sep. 2003
USF
Calcio Foggia
1 - 3
Catanzaro
FCC
66%
22%
12%
57 68 11 +1
14 Sep. 2003
FCC
Catanzaro
2 - 2
Benevento
BEN
57%
25%
17%
57 49 8 0

Matches

Crotone
Crotone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2003
CRO
Crotone
1 - 1
Chieti
CHI
64%
21%
15%
54 49 5 0
05 Oct. 2003
TER
Teramo
2 - 1
Crotone
CRO
55%
24%
22%
55 56 1 -1
28 Sep. 2003
CRO
Crotone
0 - 0
Acireale
ACI
41%
26%
33%
55 61 6 0
21 Sep. 2003
CRO
Crotone
1 - 1
Taranto
TAR
58%
23%
19%
55 53 2 0
14 Sep. 2003
PAT
Paternò
1 - 2
Crotone
CRO
27%
26%
47%
54 43 11 +1