Catanzaro vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
2 - 1
FCC
43%
27%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 2
FCC
29%
28%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 1
MIL
38%
27%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
EBO
1 - 2
FCC
74%
17%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 2
CAM
26%
27%
47%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
3 - 2
FCC
82%
12%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 5
APR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 0
FCC
69%
20%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 2
GAV
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |