Catanzaro vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
22.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 1
PAD
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
PRG
3 - 0
FCC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
46%
30%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
GEN
0 - 0
FCC
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
FCC
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
LEC
1 - 1
CES
43%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASS
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 0
LEC
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
LEC
2 - 0
COM
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
LEC
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |