Catanzaro vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 3
SAM
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 2
VNZ
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
PIS
2 - 2
FCC
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 0
USC
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
BRE
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 1
LEC
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 2
BRE
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPE
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
TER
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |