Catanzaro vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
56.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
FCC
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 0
CAT
16%
25%
60%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
46%
28%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
AKR
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
MAT
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
BEN
15%
23%
62%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
ASM
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
FIA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
USF
1 - 1
BEN
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |