Catanzaro vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
PES
1 - 1
FCC
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
FCC
3 - 0
TUR
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
FCC
55%
26%
19%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ASA
1 - 1
FCC
45%
29%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
FCC
4 - 2
FCI
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 1
GEL
55%
26%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
BEN
33%
29%
39%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASM
58%
26%
17%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
FCI
0 - 0
BEN
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
PES
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |