Catanzaro vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 0
CES
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 0
FCC
31%
26%
44%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SAS
0 - 2
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCC
2 - 2
SAM
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
JUS
2 - 0
FCC
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
SPE
3 - 1
NUO
65%
20%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 3
USC
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
REG
2 - 1
SPE
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 0
SAL
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
FRO
2 - 2
SPE
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |