Catanzaro vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 0
FCC
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
TAR
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AKR
0 - 0
FCC
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 2
PAG
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 1
CAT
19%
27%
54%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
3 - 0
ASM
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 2
SIR
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 0
ASM
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 2
FON
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |