Catanzaro vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
FCC
45%
27%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 1
FCC
29%
28%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
FON
71%
19%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAG
22%
28%
50%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 3
APR
47%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ASM
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAG
3 - 1
ASM
72%
19%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 1
GAV
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIG
3 - 1
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |