Catanzaro vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LAT
2 - 0
FCC
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FCC
0 - 1
NEA
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SOR
6 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ASM
2 - 2
FCC
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FCC
1 - 1
BRI
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
TRA
1 - 0
ASM
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ASM
2 - 1
FON
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ASM
2 - 2
FCC
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASM
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ASM
1 - 2
JUS
29%
27%
45%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |