Catanzaro vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
32.3%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.3%
29.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 1
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
SPA
37%
32%
32%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 3
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 1
MAN
55%
27%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
MAN
3 - 0
USF
36%
32%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAT
45%
31%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
TER
0 - 0
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |