Catanzaro vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 0
FCC
31%
26%
44%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SAS
0 - 2
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCC
2 - 2
SAM
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
JUS
2 - 0
FCC
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 3
PAL
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
NUO
0 - 1
CES
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CES
2 - 1
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
MAN
3 - 0
CES
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
CES
0 - 2
SAS
21%
22%
57%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |