FC Castrense vs União Montemor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 2
MOU
19%
22%
59%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 1
SES
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FCC
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALJ
0 - 1
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
União Montemor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
LAG
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 1
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 2
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |