FC Castrense vs Sesimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FCC
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALJ
0 - 1
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
LAG
25%
24%
52%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
FCC
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 2
JUV
25%
24%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SES
0 - 2
MOU
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
LUS
16%
22%
63%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
SES
67%
19%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
SES
46%
23%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SES
2 - 1
ALJ
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |