FC Castrense vs Penedo Gordo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
FCC
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 2
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 5
OPE
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 1
ALM
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penedo Gordo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PGO
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PGO
0 - 1
FAB
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PGO
2 - 0
PMI
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
PGO
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PGO
3 - 1
DBE
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |