FC Castrense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 1
FCC
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 1
ALM
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 5
FAM
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 2
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MOU
4 - 2
LOU
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
MOU
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
ANG
46%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 1
JUV
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOU
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |