FC Castrense vs Monte Trigo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
FCC
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MOU
7 - 1
FCC
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 2
LUS
15%
22%
64%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SES
1 - 0
FCC
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 3
VAS
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Trigo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
MOU
20%
23%
58%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 6
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 3
SES
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 1
MON
72%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
ALJ
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |