FC Castrense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
IDE
3 - 1
FCC
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FCC
6 - 0
EVN
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
FCC
83%
13%
5%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 1
FCC
65%
20%
14%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 2
PIN
30%
23%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 3
ORI
19%
23%
57%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 0
LUS
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 3
OLH
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IDE
4 - 0
LUS
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 2
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |