FC Castrense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
FCC
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 2
FCC
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
LOU
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COV
0 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
JUV
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
LOU
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
COV
2 - 2
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
JUV
65%
18%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 4
LUS
53%
24%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
PIN
45%
23%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |