FC Castrense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SES
1 - 0
FCC
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 3
VAS
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 2
MOU
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
LUS
17%
23%
61%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
EST
10 - 0
LUS
85%
9%
6%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -4 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
LUS
1 - 1
OLH
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
LUS
3 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |