FC Castrense vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COV
0 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
JUV
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 2
FCC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
MOU
27%
27%
46%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 0
LOU
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
COV
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 3
JUV
68%
18%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
LOU
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
PIN
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |