FC Castrense vs Juventude Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 2
FCC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
MOU
27%
27%
46%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 1
FCC
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 1
ALM
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Juventude Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 3
JUV
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 2
COV
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 2
JUV
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
JUV
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 1
PIN
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +5 |