FC Castrense vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
FCC
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 3
CAM
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VCO
2 - 4
FCC
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 7
FCC
16%
20%
64%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 1
ALJ
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
LOU
55%
24%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SAC
3 - 1
COV
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PIN
4 - 0
COV
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 3
COV
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |