Castiglione vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 1
FCC
28%
24%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCC
6 - 0
MIL
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
2 - 1
FCC
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BV5
1 - 1
FCC
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACG
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIN
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAV
28%
26%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USA
2 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
VNZ
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |