Castiglione vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RIM
0 - 0
FCC
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 0
FCC
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
SAV
36%
27%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
MIL
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 1
MAN
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
RIM
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PRO
5 - 2
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 1
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |